OKLO Oklo Inc.
Oklo Inc. (OKLO) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Utilities. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 6 comparable calls have settled; 83.3% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel, falling on both timeframes
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
Read from the last 12 months of history we hold: falling, drifting −72% a year. The nearest ceiling overhead is US$40.50. What would overturn this: a close below US$31.26 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 12 months read from
- US$31.20 – US$40.50 Falling channel, −72% a year
- Position in that channel
- 72% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -80% from US$174.0114 Oct 2025 → 16 Sept 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company1 of 2 Independent Power Producers peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Unsettled too close to a coin toss on the record to call
- Regained so far
- 2%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 40% of 286 comparable falls came back, typically in 178 days measured across every stock we hold history for, its peer group being too small
The trend broke in October 2025: price fell 80% from 174.01 to 35.64 by September 2026, and has regained 2% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Canaccord Genuity Initiates Coverage On Oklo with Buy Rating, Announces Price Target of $175”. What happens next is not settled: falls of about 80% here have come back to the old high 40% of the time (286 comparable falls), typically in 178 days, which is too close to a coin toss to price a recovery from.
Reported at the time: Canaccord Genuity Initiates Coverage On Oklo with Buy Rating, Announces Price Target of $175 — 9 Oct 2025
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (12 months)
- Lower trend line (12 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because its projected path only reaches 0.0% above the entry within 90 days, under the 6.0% floor a call has to clear to be worth making. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy at or below
US$26.75
level as at 19 Sept 2026
Our target
US$31.19
by 18 Dec 2026
Projected move
16.6%
gross, before costs
Price is at or through our target.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 6 settled calls, of which 5 reached target (83.3%), with an average best move of 25.1%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 4
- Fit confidence
- 66%
- Fitted
- 19 Sept 2026
About Oklo Inc.
Oklo Inc. develops advanced fission power plants to provide clean, reliable, and affordable energy at scale to customers in the United States. The company’s primary offering is the Aurora powerhouse, which is designed to produce between 15 and up to 75 megawatts of electricity. The company is also commercializing nuclear fuel recycling, fuel fabrication technology that can convert used nuclear fuel into usable fuel for its reactors, and the production of radioisotopes. The company has a strategic partnership with Blykalla AB for the development of advanced nuclear reactor technology and its commercialization. The company was formerly known as AltC Acquisition Corp. and changed its name to Oklo Inc. in May 2024. Oklo Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
- Sector
- Utilities
- Industry
- Independent Power Producers
- CEO
- Jacob DeWitte
- Employees
- 215
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$6.61B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.20
- Avg volume
- 11.12M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 34.38-193.84
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.