LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Industrials. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 5 comparable calls have settled; 20% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
Read from the last 7 months of history we hold: falling, drifting −19% a year. The target of US$652.87 sits above the nearest ceiling (US$641.45), so reaching it means breaking a line this stock has repeatedly turned at. What would overturn this: a close below US$481.19 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 7 months read from
- US$481.19 – US$641.45 Falling channel, −19% a year
- Position in that channel
- 35% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -27% from US$672.392 Mar 2026 → 24 June 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company3 of 13 Aerospace & Defense peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 23%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 91% of 20 comparable falls came back, typically in 78 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in March 2026: price fell 27% from 672.39 to 491.69 by June 2026, and has regained 23% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Cuban Border Guard Kills Four On US Boat: What Do Prediction Markets Say Could Happen Next?”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 27% here have come back to the old high 91% of the time (20 comparable falls), typically in 78 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 681.88 within 300 days, reached 91% of the time in 20 comparable falls — about 0.09% a day held.
Reported at the time: Cuban Border Guard Kills Four On US Boat: What Do Prediction Markets Say Could Happen Next? — 25 Feb 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (7 months)
- Lower trend line (7 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
We replayed these rules over this stock's own history and the target was reached on only 1 of 5 calls. Its swings do not respect the channel reliably enough for a published call, and no alerts are sent. The numbers below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy now
US$537.32
last close · 16 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$544.06; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$652.87
by 25 Oct 2026
Projected move
21.5%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 5 settled calls, of which 1 reached target (20%), with an average best move of 5.3%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 2
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 77%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Lockheed Martin Corporation
Lockheed Martin Corporation stands as a prominent global security and aerospace enterprise, specializing in the comprehensive lifecycle of advanced technological systems. Its expertise spans the research, design, development, manufacturing, integration, and ongoing sustainment of cutting-edge products and services across the world. The company's diverse operations are structured into four key segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control, Rotary and Mission Systems, and Space. The Aeronautics division is responsible for creating and producing leading-edge combat and air mobility aircraft, alongside unmanned aerial vehicles and their related innovations. The Missiles and Fire Control segment delivers sophisticated air and missile defense systems; tactical and precision air-to-ground weapon systems; comprehensive logistics; advanced fire control; mission operations, readiness, engineering support, and integration services; both crewed and uncrewed ground vehicles; and energy management solutions. Within the Rotary and Mission Systems segment, the portfolio includes military and commercial helicopters, naval surface ships, land and sea-based missile defense systems, advanced radar technologies, maritime and airborne mission and combat systems, intricate command and control solutions, cybersecurity services, and simulation and training platforms. The Space division focuses on satellites, space transportation systems, strategic, advanced strike, and defensive missile systems, as well as classified systems and services vital for national security. This segment further enhances situational awareness through network enablement, integrating space and ground-based systems to empower customers in gathering, analyzing, and securely distributing crucial intelligence data. Lockheed Martin primarily serves the United States government, alongside fulfilling foreign military sales facilitated through U.S. government contracts. Established in 1912, the corporation maintains its headquarters in Bethesda, Maryland.
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Aerospace & Defense
- CEO
- James D. Taiclet Jr.
- Employees
- 123,000
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- 46/100
- Profitability
- 56/100
- Financial health
- 26/100
- Cash generation
- 56/100
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$120.98B
- Enterprise value
- US$137.73B
- Beta
- 0.10
- Avg volume
- 1.22M
- Revenue per share
- 334.59
- Dividend yield
- 2.63%
- 52-week range
- 437.25-692
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- 19.24
- PEG
- 0.36
- Price / sales
- 1.57
- Price / book
- 13.76
- EV / EBITDA
- 13.97
- Gross margin
- 11.80%
- Operating margin
- 11.88%
- Net margin
- 8.16%
- Current ratio
- 1.19
- Quick ratio
- 1.01
- Debt / equity
- 2.34
- Interest cover
- 8.24
Income statement
| Year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$75.06B | US$7.62B | US$7.73B | US$5.02B | US$21.49 |
| 2024 | US$71.04B | US$6.93B | US$7.01B | US$5.34B | US$22.31 |
| 2023 | US$67.57B | US$8.48B | US$8.51B | US$6.92B | US$27.55 |
| 2022 | US$65.98B | US$8.29B | US$8.35B | US$5.73B | US$21.66 |
| 2021 | US$67.04B | US$9.06B | US$9.12B | US$6.32B | US$22.77 |
Balance sheet
| Year | Total assets | Total liabilities | Total equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$59.84B | US$53.12B | US$6.72B |
| 2024 | US$55.62B | US$49.28B | US$6.33B |
| 2023 | US$52.46B | US$45.62B | US$6.83B |
| 2022 | US$52.88B | US$43.61B | US$9.27B |
| 2021 | US$50.87B | US$39.91B | US$10.96B |
Cash flow
| Year | Operating cash flow | Free cash flow | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$8.56B | US$6.91B | US$5.02B |
| 2024 | US$6.97B | US$5.29B | US$5.34B |
| 2023 | US$7.92B | US$6.23B | US$6.92B |
| 2022 | US$7.80B | US$6.13B | US$5.73B |
| 2021 | US$9.22B | US$7.70B | US$6.32B |
EPS forecasts
| Period | Est. EPS | Est. revenue | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$21.62 | US$74.59B | 14 |
| 2026 | US$30.42 | US$80.91B | 16 |
| 2027 | US$32.68 | US$85.57B | 16 |
| 2028 | US$35.33 | US$90.73B | 17 |
| 2029 | US$37.87 | US$92.12B | 12 |
| 2030 | US$40.60 | US$96.18B | 7 |
Analyst view
- Target (mean)
- US$644.86
- Target (high)
- US$700.00
- Target (low)
- US$575.00
- Strong buy
- 0
- Buy
- 22
- Hold
- 14
- Sell
- 1
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.