FTI TechnipFMC plc
TechnipFMC plc (FTI) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Energy. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken down below, rising on both timeframes
Price has closed below the channel. Support has failed — treat the buy target with caution.
The next few months are read from the last 12 months, not the last 2 years: that channel fits this stock's recent turns at least as well (43% against 34%) and it is the one price is respecting now. The last 2 years stay as context: rising, +91% a year. The target of US$76.55 is below the nearest ceiling (US$82.12), so it does not depend on a breakout. What would overturn this: a close below US$75.48 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 2 years read from
- US$75.32 – US$82.15 Rising channel, +91% a year
- Position in that channel
- -41% below the floor of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (2 years)
- Lower trend line (2 years)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$72.22
level as at 2 Oct 2026
Our target
US$76.55
by 9 Oct 2026
Projected move
6.0%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
The lines are drawn where this stock has actually turned: 3 touches on the ceiling, 7 on the floor, each fitted to the slope that catches the most of them. Buying one average daily range below its 50-day mean, on heavier volume than usual and while it is still above its 200-day mean, has come up 791 times; measured against the 6% floor — the least a call has to be worth to be worth making, not what it aims at — 73% cleared it, typically in 34 days, with price going about 5% against the entry along the way (63% in the worst case we have on record). Trades that have not reached the target within 3 months are counted as misses, whatever they are worth at the time. The prices above are this stock’s own — its average, its volatility — but the setup is the same one we apply everywhere: derived on eight unrelated tickers, then confirmed on 87 others it was never fitted to. We deliberately do not tune it to each stock: doing so scores worse on history the tuning never saw — 58% against 71% — because it fits the past rather than the future. On this stock the setup has come up 13 times so far, reaching target 100% of the time. The sell price comes from where this stock is projected to be, not from a minimum worth taking: the fitted path reaches 18% above the entry within 90 days, and of the sizes that path supports, 6% is the one that has returned the most per day of money tied up here — measured over the 9 times this entry has come up on this chart, reached 100% of the time, typically in 7 days. Smaller sizes got there sooner but paid less for the weeks they used; larger ones need a break above the projected ceiling, which is not the base case. The date published is whichever is later: that typical time, or the day the projected path itself reaches the price. It is a prediction, so it can be revised: if the run tops out before it gets there, the target is cut to what is actually on the table and you are told the same day. An ordinary pullback is not treated as topping out — those go on to make a new high about 8 times in 10, so they are ridden through. What triggers the revision is price closing below its 50-day trend and staying there, after which the odds of recovery fall to roughly 3 in 10.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 7
- Fit confidence
- 34%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About TechnipFMC plc
TechnipFMC plc is a global technology and services provider primarily focused on the energy industry, operating across Europe, Central Asia, North and Latin America, the Asia Pacific, Africa, and the Middle East. The company's Subsea division delivers comprehensive, end-to-end solutions for deepwater oil and gas production and transportation. This includes the full lifecycle from design, engineering, procurement, manufacturing, and fabrication to installation and ongoing field support for subsea systems, infrastructure, and pipelines. Key offerings include advanced subsea production and processing systems, umbilical, riser, and flowline solutions, specialized vessels, and the digital platform "Subsea Studio," which optimizes the development and operation of subsea fields. Additionally, this segment provides well and asset services, alongside research, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain management. Its Surface Technologies segment specializes in designing, manufacturing, and servicing products and systems for onshore and shallow-water crude oil and natural gas exploration and production. The extensive product portfolio encompasses drilling and completion systems, surface wellheads and production trees, the digitally-enabled pressure control system "iComplete," fracturing tree and manifold systems, and various pumping solutions for well services. This segment also supplies critical well control, safety, and integrity systems, multiphase meter modules, in-line separation and processing units, standard pumps, and advanced automation and digital systems for flow measurement. Beyond equipment, it offers a full spectrum of lifecycle services, from planning, testing, and installation to commissioning, operations, replacement, upgrades, maintenance, storage, preservation, intervention, integrity, decommissioning, and abandonment. Flexible lines and flowline products are also part of its comprehensive offering. TechnipFMC plc has also formed a strategic alliance with Talos Energy Inc. to develop and implement technical and commercial solutions for Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) projects, reflecting a move towards sustainable energy initiatives. The company was established in 1884 and maintains its corporate headquarters in Newcastle Upon Tyne, United Kingdom.
- Sector
- Energy
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
- CEO
- Douglas J. Pferdehirt
- Employees
- 22,000
- Country
- GB
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$29.94B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 0.74
- Avg volume
- 4.15M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 35.29-80.7
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.